Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 0.027291 0.029689 0.032200 0.035026 0.038120 0.041407 0.045164
2025-07-13 0.023256 0.026692 0.030499 0.035038 0.040309 0.046248 0.053463
2025-07-20 0.020697 0.024718 0.029366 0.035149 0.042173 0.050451 0.060984
2025-07-27 0.018893 0.023302 0.028576 0.035373 0.043935 0.054408 0.068259
2025-08-03 0.017259 0.021876 0.027561 0.035112 0.044927 0.057324 0.074276
2025-08-10 0.016168 0.021000 0.027107 0.035439 0.046582 0.061068 0.081491
2025-08-17 0.014930 0.019815 0.026135 0.034968 0.047084 0.063252 0.086678
2025-08-24 0.013807 0.018689 0.025141 0.034359 0.047300 0.064988 0.091277
2025-08-31 0.012923 0.017818 0.024415 0.034036 0.047845 0.067150 0.096539
2025-09-07 0.012157 0.017053 0.023775 0.033771 0.048416 0.069332 0.101909
2025-09-14 0.011500 0.016396 0.023237 0.033599 0.049080 0.071648 0.107570
2025-09-21 0.010839 0.015690 0.022581 0.033200 0.049363 0.073381 0.112410
2025-09-28 0.010374 0.015268 0.022344 0.033454 0.050709 0.076895 0.120423
2025-10-05 0.009874 0.014766 0.021962 0.033471 0.051700 0.079941 0.127938
2025-10-12 0.009439 0.014335 0.021658 0.033578 0.052823 0.083238 0.136065
2025-10-19 0.009067 0.013975 0.021436 0.033791 0.054110 0.086854 0.144940
2025-10-26 0.008617 0.013467 0.020950 0.033543 0.054615 0.089200 0.151788
2025-11-02 0.008326 0.013194 0.020818 0.033854 0.056052 0.093162 0.161682
2025-11-09 0.007895 0.012669 0.020250 0.033406 0.056168 0.094871 0.167673
2025-11-16 0.007468 0.012129 0.019628 0.032825 0.056012 0.096084 0.172818
2025-11-23 0.007125 0.011710 0.019183 0.032519 0.056307 0.098087 0.179530
2025-11-30 0.006816 0.011331 0.018784 0.032265 0.056674 0.100226 0.186618
2025-12-07 0.006542 0.011000 0.018449 0.032102 0.057184 0.102641 0.194378